ASSESSING A PRODUCT'S EXPORT
POTENTIAL
There are several ways to gauge the
overseas market
potential of products and services.
(For ease of reading,
products are mentioned more than
services in this guide,
but much of the discussion applies to
both.) One of the
most important ways is to assess the
product's success in
domestic markets. If a company
succeeds at selling in the
U.S.
market, there is a good chance that it will also be
successful in markets abroad,
wherever similar needs and
conditions exist.
In markets that differ significantly
from the U.S. market,
some products may have limited
potential. Those differences
may be climate and environmental
factors, social and
cultural factors, local availability
of raw materials or
product alternatives, lower wage
costs, lower purchasing
power, the availability of foreign exchange
(hard
currencies like the dollar, the
British pound, and the
Japanese yen), government import
controls, and many other
factors. If a product is successful
in the United States,
one strategy for export success may
be a careful analysis
of why it sells here, followed by a
selection of similar
markets abroad. In this way, little
or no product
modification is required.
If a product is not new or unique,
low-cost market research
may already be available to help
assess its overseas market
potential. In addition, international
trade statistics
(available in many local libraries)
can give a preliminary
indication of overseas markets for a
particular product by
showing where similar or related
products are already being
sold in significant quantities.
If a product is unique or has
important features that are
hard to duplicate abroad, chances are
good for finding an
export market. For a unique product,
competition may be
nonexistent or very slight, while
demand may be quite high.
Finally, even if U.S. sales of a product
are now declining,
sizeable export markets may exist,
especially if the
product once did well in the United
States but is now
losing market share to more
technically advanced products.
Countries that are less developed
than the United States
may not need state-of-the-art
technology and may be unable
to afford the most sophisticated and
expensive products.
Such markets may instead have a
surprisingly healthy demand
for U.S. products that are older or that are
considered
obsolete by U.S. market standards.
MAKING THE EXPORT DECISION
Once a company determines it has
exportable products, it
must still consider other factors,
such as the following:
*
What does the company want to gain from exporting?
*
Is exporting consistent with other company goals?
*
What demands will exporting place on the company's key
resources -- management and
personnel, production
capacity, and finance -- and how
will these demands be
met?
*
Are the expected benefits worth the costs, or would
company resources be better used
for developing new
domestic business?
A more detailed list of questions is
shown later. Answers
to these questions can help a company
not only decide
whether or not to export but also
determine what methods of
exporting should be initially used.
THE VALUE OF PLANNING
Many companies begin export
activities haphazardly, without
carefully screening markets or
options for market entry.
While these companies may or may not
have a measure of
success, they may overlook better
export opportunities. In
the event that early export efforts
are unsuccessful
because of poor planning, the company
may even be misled
into abandoning exporting altogether.
Formulating an export
strategy based on good information
and proper assessment
increases the chances that the best
options will be chosen,
that resources will be used
effectively, and that efforts
will consequently be carried through
to completion.
The purposes of the export plan are,
first, to assemble
facts, constraints, and goals and,
second, to create an
action statement that takes all of
these into account. The
statement includes specific
objectives; it sets forth time
schedules for implementation; and it
marks milestones so
that the degree of success can be
measured and help
motivate personnel.
The first draft of the export plan may be
quite short and
simple, but it should become more
detailed and complete as
the planners learn more about
exporting and their company's
competitive position. At least the
following ten questions
should ultimately be addressed:
1.
What products are selected for export development?
What modifications, if any, must
be made to adapt them
for overseas markets?
2.
What countries are targeted for
sales development?
3.
In each country, what is the basic customer profile?
What marketing and distribution
channels should be
used to reach customers?
4.
What special challenges pertain to each market
(competition, cultural
differences, import controls,
etc.), and what strategy will be
used to address them?
5.
How will the product's export sales price be
determined?
6.
What specific operational steps must be taken and
when?
7.
What will be the time frame for implementing each
element of the plan?
8.
What personnel and company resources will be dedicated
to exporting?
9.
What will be the cost in time and money for each
element?
10.
How will results be evaluated and used to modify the
plan?
One key to developing a successful
plan is the
participation of all personnel who
will be involved in the
exporting process. All aspects of an
export plan should be
agreed upon by those who will
ultimately execute them.
A clearly written marketing strategy
offers six immediate
benefits:
1.
Because written plans display their strengths and
weaknesses more readily, they
are of great help in
formulating and polishing an
export strategy.
2.
Written plans are not as easily forgotten, overlooked,
or ignored by those charged with
executing them. If
deviation from the original plan
occurs, it is likely
to be due to a deliberate choice to do so.
3.
Written plans are easier to communicate to others and
are less likely to be
misunderstood.
4.
Written plans allocate responsibilities and provide
for an evaluation of results.
5.
Written plans can be of help in seeking financing.
They indicate to lenders a
serious approach to the
export venture.
6.
Written plans give management a clear understanding of
what will be required and thus
help to ensure a
commitment to exporting. In
fact, a written plan
signals that the decision to
export has already been
made.
This last advantage is especially
noteworthy. Building an
international business takes time; it
is usually months,
sometimes even several years, before
an exporting company
begins to see a return on its
investment of time and money.
By committing to the specifics of a
written plan, top
management can make sure that the
firm will finish what it
begins and that the hopes that
prompted its export efforts
will be fulfilled.
THE PLANNING PROCESS AND THE RESULT
A crucial first step in planning is
to develop broad
consensus among key management on the
company's goals,
objectives, capabilities, and
constraints. Answering the
questions listed in table 1-1 is one
way to start.
The first time an export plan is
developed, it should be
kept simple. It need be only a few
pages long, since
important market data and planning
elements may not yet be
available. The initial planning
effort itself gradually
generates more information and
insight that can be
incorporated into more sophisticated
planning documents
later.
From the start, the plan should be
viewed and written as a
management tool, not as a static
document. For instance,
objectives in the plan should be
compared with actual
results as a measure of the success
of different
strategies. Furthermore, the company
should not hesitate to
modify the plan and make it more
specific as new
information and experience are
gained.
A detailed plan is recommended for
companies that intend to
export directly. Companies choosing indirect
export methods
may require much simpler plans. An
outline of an export
plan is presented later.
APPROACHES TO EXPORTING
The way a company chooses to export
its products can have a
significant effect on its export plan
and specific
marketing strategies. The basic
distinction among
approaches to exporting relates to a
company's level of
involvement in the export process.
There are at least four
approaches, which may be used alone
or in combination:
1.
Passively filling orders from domestic buyers who then
export the product.
These sales are
indistinguishable from other
domestic sales as far as the
original seller is
concerned. Someone else has
decided that the
product in question meets
foreign demand. That
party takes all the risk and
handles all of the
exporting details, in some
cases without even the
awareness of the original
seller. (Many companies
take a stronger interest in
exporting when they
discover that their product
is already being sold
overseas.)
2.
Seeking out domestic buyers who represent foreign end
users or customers.
Many U.S. and foreign
corporations, general
contractors, foreign trading
companies, foreign
government agencies, foreign
distributors and
retailers, and others in the
United States
purchase for export. These
buyers are a large
market for a wide variety of
goods and services.
In this case a company may
know its product is
being exported, but it is
still the buyer who
assumes the risk and handles
the details of
exporting.
3.
Exporting indirectly through intermediaries. With
this approach, a company
engages the services of
an intermediary firm capable
of finding foreign
markets and buyers for its
products. Export
management companies (EMCs), export
trading
companies (ETCs),
international trade
consultants, and other
intermediaries can give
the exporter access to
well-established expertise
and trade contacts. Yet, the exporter
can still
retain considerable control
over the process and
can realize some of the other
benefits of
exporting, such as learning
more about foreign
competitors, new technologies,
and other market
opportunities.
4.
Exporting directly. This approach
is the most
ambitious and difficult,
since the exporter
personally handles every
aspect of the exporting
process from market research
and planning to
foreign distribution and
collections.
Consequently, a significant
commitment of
management time and attention
is required to
achieve good results.
However, this approach may
also be the best way to
achieve maximum profits
and long-term growth. With
appropriate help and
guidance from the Department
of Commerce, state
trade offices, freight
forwarders, international
banks, and other service
groups, even small or
medium-sized firms, can
export directly if they
are able to commit enough staff time to
the
effort. For those who cannot
make that
commitment, the services of
an EMC, ETC, trade
consultant, or other
qualified intermediary are
indispensable.
Approaches number 1 and 2 represent a
substantial
proportion of total U.S. sales,
perhaps as much as 30
percent of U.S. exports. They do not,
however, involve the
firm in the export process. Consequently,
this guide
concentrates on approaches 3 and 4.
(There is no single
source or special channel for
identifying domestic buyers
for overseas markets. In general,
they may be found through
the same means that U.S. buyers are
found, for example,
trade shows, mailing lists, industry
directories, and trade
associations.)
If the nature of the company's goals
and resources makes an
indirect method of exporting the best
choice, little
further planning may be needed. In
such a case, the main
task is to find a suitable
intermediary firm that can then
handle most export details. Firms
that are new to exporting
or are unable to commit staff and
funds to more complex
export activities may find indirect
methods of exporting
more appropriate.
Using an EMC or other intermediary,
however, does not
exclude all possibility of direct
exporting for the firm.
For example, a U.S. company may try exporting directly to
such "easy" nearby markets
as Canada, Mexico, or the
Bahamas while letting its EMC handle
more ambitious sales
to Egypt or Japan. An exporter may
also choose to gradually
increase its level of direct
exporting later, after
experience has been gained and sales
volume appears to
justify added investment.
For more information on different
approaches to exporting
and their advantages and
disadvantages, see chapter 4.
Consulting advisers before making
these decisions can be
helpful. The next chapter presents
information on a variety
of organizations that can provide
this type of help _ in
many cases, at no cost.
Management Issues Involved in
the Export Decision
Management objectives
*
What are the company's reasons for pursuing export
markets? Are they solid objectives (e.g., increasing
sales volume or developing a
broader, more stable
customer base) or are they
frivolous (e.g., the owner
wants an excuse to travel)?
* How
committed is top management to an export effort?
Is exporting viewed as a quick
fix for a slump in
domestic sales? Will the company
neglect its export
customers if domestic sales pick
up?
*
What are management's expectations for the export
effort? How quickly does
management expect export
operations to become
self-sustaining? What level of
return on investment is expected
from the export
program?
Experience
*
With what countries has business already been
conducted, or from what
countries have inquiries
already been received?
*
Which product lines are mentioned most often?
*
Are any domestic customers buying the product for sale
or shipment overseas? If so, to
what countries?
*
Is the trend of sales and inquiries up or down?
*
Who are the main domestic and foreign competitors?
*
What general and specific lessons have been learned
from past export attempts or
experiences?
Management and Personnel
*
What in-house international expertise does the firm
have (international sales
experience, language
capabilities, etc.)?
*
Who will be responsible for the export department's
organization and staff?
*
How much senior management time (a) should be
allocated and (b) could be
allocated?
*
What organizational structure is required to ensure
that export sales are adequately
serviced?
*
Who will follow through after the planning is done?
Production Capacity
*
How is the present capacity being used?
*
Will filling export orders hurt domestic sales?
*
What will be the cost of additional production?
*
Are there fluctuations in the annual work load? When?
Why?
*
What minimum order quantity is required?
*
What would be required to design and package products
specifically for export?
Financial Capacity
*
What amount of capital can be committed to export
production and marketing?
*
What level of export department operating costs can be
supported?
*
How are the initial expenses of export efforts to be
allocated?
*
What other new development plans are in the works that
may compete with export plans?
*
By what date must an export effort pay for itself?
SAMPLE OUTLINE FOR AN
EXPORT PLAN
Table of Contents
Executive Summary (one or two pages
maximum)
Introduction: Why This Company Should
Export
Part I
Export Policy Commitment Statement
Part II Situation/Background Analysis
*
Product or Service
*
Operations
*
Personnel and Export Organization
*
Resources of the Firm
*
Industry Structure, Competition, and Demand
Part III Marketing Component
*
Identifying, Evaluating, and Selecting Target Markets
*
Product Selection and Pricing
*
Distribution Methods
*
Terms and Conditions
*
Internal Organization and Procedures
*
Sales Goals: Profit and Loss Forecasts
Part IV Tactics: Action Steps
*
Primary Target Countries
*
Secondary Target Countries
*
Indirect Marketing Efforts
Part V Export Budget
*
Pro Forma Financial Statements
Part VI Implementation Schedule
*
Follow-up
*
Periodic Operational and Management Review (Measuring
Results Against Plan)
Addenda: Background Data on Target
Countries and Market
*
Basic Market Statistics: Historical and Projected
*
Background Facts
*
Competitive Environment
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